Inconsistent Planning: When in Doubt, Toss a Coin!

نویسندگان

چکیده

One of the most widespread human behavioral biases is present bias -- tendency to overestimate current costs by a factor. Kleinberg and Oren (2014) introduced an elegant graph-theoretical model inconsistent planning capturing behavior present-biased agent accomplishing set actions. The essential measure system cost irrationality ratio total actions performed optimal cost. This vital for task designer estimate aftermaths related time-inconsistent planning, including procrastination abandonment. As we prove in this paper, highly susceptible agent's choices when faced with few possible equal estimated costs. To address issue, propose modification Kleinberg-Oren's planning. In our model, selects from several options minimum prescribed cost, he uses randomized procedure. We explore algorithmic complexity computing estimating new model.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Authorship: why not just toss a coin?

IF YOU ARE READING THIS COMMENTARY, the title probably irked your professional sensibilities. That's good. During 32 years of publishing, I've experienced two authorship disputes. Both of these problems have demonstrated to me that there is a disturbing and pervasive lack of understanding of what authorship on scientific papers means, of the responsibilities that it conveys, and of how it is de...

متن کامل

Dynamical Bias in the Coin Toss

We analyze the natural process of flipping a coin which is caught in the hand. We prove that vigorously-flipped coins are biased to come up the same way they started. The amount of bias depends on a single parameter, the angle between the normal to the coin and the angular momentum vector. Measurements of this parameter based on high-speed photography are reported. For natural flips, the chance...

متن کامل

Decisions by coin toss: Inappropriate but fair

In many situations of indeterminacy, where people agree that no decisive arguments favor one alternative to another, they are still strongly opposed to resolving the dilemma by a coin toss. The robustness of this judgment-decision discrepancy is demonstrated in several experiments, where factors like the importance of consequences, similarity of alternatives, conflicts of opinion, outcome certa...

متن کامل

The quantum coin toss — testing microphysical undecidability

A critical review of randomness criteria shows that no–go theorems severely restrict the validity of actual “proofs” of undecidability. It is suggested to test microphysical undecidability by physical processes with low extrinsic complexity, such as polarized laser light. The publication and distribution of a sequence of pointer readings generated by such methods is proposed. Unlike any pseudor...

متن کامل

Note on fair coin toss via Bitcoin

In this short note we show that the Bitcoin network can allow remote parties to gamble with their bitcoins by tossing a fair or biased coin, with no need for a trusted party, and without the possibility of extortion by dishonest parties who try to abort. The superfluousness of having a trusted party implies that there is no house edge, as is the case with centralized services that are supposed ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Proceedings of the ... AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2159-5399', '2374-3468']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v36i9.21207